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8月15日

Daily Forex Fundamentals 07-25-06

British Pound

With no economic data released over the past few days, the Forex currency British pound continued to lose value on the back of the recovery in the US dollar. Tomorrow may be a bit different however as the tables turn slightly. Aside from the US Beige Book report due much later in the afternoon, there is nothing else on the US economic calendar. The UK on the other hand is scheduled to release the CBI industrial trends survey, which is forecasted to improve from -12 to -10.

 

A stronger report could help the GBP/USD recover somewhat in the early hours of trading. Aside from the CBI report, it should be extremely quiet in the UK as there is no other economic data scheduled for release until next week.

Japanese Yen

Like the British pound, there was no Japanese economic data released overnight which explains today’s quiet Forex trading in the Japanese Yen. This has allowed news from China to continue to yield its influence on the Yen. Although dollar strength has sent USD/JPY above 117, the Yen held steady against the Euro, British pound and Swiss Franc. Another revaluation announcement by China will certainly tip the scales more in the Yen’s favor, but for the time being,

 

Yen crosses remained trapped in a relatively tight trading range. Forex traders Tonight expecting the Japanese Trade Balance for the month of June. The surplus is predicted to balloon from Y382 billion to Y833 billion, but the recent rise in oil prices poses a risk to the lofty forecasts. In addition to that, traders will also be paying attention to comments from Bank of Japan policy member Suda tomorrow for clues on when the Bank of Japan could deliver its second interest rate hike. We still expect another rate hike to be delayed for at least two months on the central bank’s desires to contain expectations.

7月23日

Forex Trading System - Build Your Own

You can of course, buy a FOREX trading system and many sites and advisers can help you locate the good ones, but nowadays it’s pretty easy to build your own.

 

Perhaps the best method is a breakout method (it’s easy to understand and apply) and is described in our other articles. Simply combine it with some oscillators and your all set.

 

Many trading packages will let you apply your own rules and test them with realistic slippage and commission.

 

A FOREX trading system you have built and understand thoroughly yourself gives you a huge advantage, as you will be able to apply it with confidence and discipline which you will need to stay with a system, through periods of drawdown.

 

You should make your trading systems trade ALL markets with the same rules.

One of the biggest errors traders make is falling for systems that have “unique” rules to trade different markets.

What this basically means is that the vendor cannot get the system to work on the market, so its “curve fitted” i.e. the rules fit the data in hindsight. Beware of such mistakes when creating your own system.

 

Makes sure you have a long term trading system

There is a huge market selling short term and day trading systems, but fact is they don’t work as well as long term trend following trading systems.

 

Verificate EVERYTHING

While past performance is no guarantee of future performance some evidence of the system trading successfully is a must. FOREX is a dish best served checked.

7月20日

Euro - is it good for Forex?

In the Forex market there are several major currencies - one of those is the Euro. What is the Euro? It is a single currency of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) introduced in January 1999. EMU members then were Austria, Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain.

The use of a single currency across many countries has both advantages and disadvantages in relation to the Forex. One of the biggest benefits of the euro is that the exchange rate is lowered, thus making investment across borders easier. There are risks in the changes in the value of the currency. This means that companies find it risky to import or export outside their currency zone and that profits could be lowered. Using a unified form of currency eliminates this worry. It creates a more risk free import and export area, which already relies heavily on intra-European exports.

The foreign exchange market is the largest and most liquid trading market in the world. Unlike the stock exchange, this market does not have a certain trading place or closing time. Instead, over $2 trillion are traded and sold every day (almost 6 days a week). It never closes and trading takes place twenty-four hours a day during the business week.

There are currently six major currency pairs that are used and traded each day on the Forex. These six pairs account for over 90 percent of the trading activity each and every day. These include the euro and the US dollar (EUR/USD), the Japanese yen and the US dollar (JPY/USD), the US dollar and the Swiss Franc (USD/CHF), the Australian dollar and the US dollar (AUD/USD), the British pound and the US dollar (GBP/USD) and the US dollar and the Canadian dollar (USD/CAD).

7月16日

Math in Forex

Fibonacci forex trading is the basis of lots of trading systems used by a great number of professional brokers around the globe, and many billions of dollars are profitable traded every year based on these trading techniques.

Fibonacci was an Italian mathematician and he is best remembered by his world famous Fibonacci sequence, the definition of this sequence is that it's formed by a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers; 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13 ...But in the case of currency trading what is more important for the trader is the Fibonacci ratios derived from this sequence of numbers, i.e. .236, .50, .382, .618, etc.

These ratios are mathematical proportions applied in many places and structures in nature, as well as in many man made creations.

Forex trading can greatly benefit form this mathematical proportions due to the fact that the oscillations observed in charts, where prices are visibly changing in an oscillatory pattern, follow Fibonacci ratios very closely as indicators of resistance and support levels; maybe not to the last cent, but so close as to be really amazing.

Fibonacci price points, or levels, for any currency pair can be calculated in advance so that the trader will know when to execute a trade or end one if the prediction given by the Fibonacci day trading system he uses fulfills its predictions.

Many people tries to make this analysis overly complicated scaring away many new forex traders that are just beginning to understand how the market works and how to make a profit in it. But this is not how it has to be. I can't say it's a simple concept but it is quite understandable for any trader once he or she has grasped the basics and has had some practice trading using Fibonacci levels along with other secondary indicators that will
help to improve the accuracy of the entry and exit point for every particular trade.

7月12日

Forex myth-busting

Forex trading is one of the most exciting new toys in the financial field (and not just there). The stakes are variable enough that almost anyone can play, and the potential winnings are high enough to tempt even the most conservative into the swamp. There’s something “sexy” about trading money – an appeal that stock, bonds and mutual funds just don’t have. With trillions of dollars changing hands daily in the forex market, it seems like everyone’s got a fool-proof system to win the money and get rich (and fast). Here are some of the things I heard, that are sure to get you broke in no-time:

There is a failsafe method to make money on every trade - Just like there’s no such thing as a free meal, there’s no such thing as a failsafe method. You WILL lose money on some trades, it’s part of the trading game. Expecting to always win is a guaranteed way to make you hang on to trades long past the point that an experienced trader would have found an out.

You don’t need to know anything about the market to make money in it - Not knowing your playing field is a sure way to hit every bump and hole in it. It’s not enough to read a few articles from your dealer. You need to make a concentrated effort to understand the forces that drive the market so you’ll know the best times to make a move.

You can play a winning game by making frequent forex trades with small profits - If your goal is to make a few hundred dollars a day, you may be ahead of the game, but you’re seriously limiting your profit potential. The only people getting rich on frequent tiny trades are the dealers taking commission on them.

 
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